13 Oct 2026 World Airspace Risk Summary Print

Risk Summary
13 Oct 2026

ISSUED BY OPSGROUP
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Danger

In assessing risk to flight over each countries borders, two scenarios are predominant for civil flight:
1. Risk of shootdown, inadvertent or intentional.
2. Aircraft emergency requiring a landing.

Both these elements are taken into consideration in determining a classification. The highest level of risk here is “Moderate”, on the basis that calling it “high” or “severe” would exaggerate the actual level or risk in landing or overflying the territories concerned.

Classification

Three levels of airspace risk are used in our assessment.
LEVEL 1. Moderate risk - No Fly
LEVEL 2. Assessed risk
LEVEL 3. Caution

A current overflight risk map is maintained at safeairspace.net. We encourage operators to report any new information to report@safeairspace.net.

Guidance

This document is intended to provide operator guidance in determining whether to avoid specific airspaces. Exclusion from this advice, naturally, does not mean that other airspace is risk free.

Information Sources

The countries that issue the most relevant updates for unsafe airspace are:

  • US (FAA) – through Notams and SFARs
  • UK (DFT) – AIP
  • Germany (BMVI) – Notam
  • France (DGAC) - AIC

Operators should note that in general, the Civil Aviation Authorities of the countries whose airspace is determined to be unsafe are unlikely to issue reliable guidance. Read more at safeairspace.net.

LEVEL 1: Moderate Risk - No Fly

For these countries, the basis for inclusion is the highly unstable current events on the ground, and in all cases the ground factions having access to MANPADS or SAMS. We strongly recommend avoiding this airspace entirely. All countries have multiple warnings, and your country of registry is likely to have issued specific instructions not to penetrate these airspaces

Russia
Oct 2026: Drone attacks continue across Russia. On 6 October, Moscow reported more than 650 Ukrainian drones targeting the capital region, most of them intercepted. Most operators avoid Russian airspace. Those still flying there should expect short-notice closures or reroutes, including during the day. Ukraine’s airspace remains closed to civil aviation, and restrictions remain in place in Russian airspace near the border.

See OPSGROUP Briefing: Ukraine and Russia Update March 2022

The primary risk is that civil aircraft could be misidentified or caught in air-defence activity as Russia responds to Ukrainian drones and missiles. EASA advises operators within its scope to avoid Russian airspace west of 60°E at all altitudes. Several countries also restrict flights near the Ukraine border, and GNSS interference adds to the risk.



Major events:
Oct 2026: More than 650 Ukrainian drones reportedly targeted the Moscow region. Most were intercepted, and air-defence activity added to the risk for civil flights.
Jul 2026: EASA extended its recommendation to avoid Russian airspace west of 60°E.
Dec 2024: Azerbaijan Airlines Flight 8243 was shot down near URMG/Grozny during Russian air-defence activity. EASA cites the incident as an example of the risk of misidentification.
Jul 2023 - ongoing: Drone strikes around Moscow have triggered air-defence activity and repeated temporary airport closures.
Feb 2022: Russia invaded Ukraine. Ukraine’s airspace closed to civil aviation, and several countries restricted their operators near the Russia-Ukraine border.
01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2213/26 Italian operators are prohibited from the URRV/Rostov FIR, as well as any Russian airspace within 200 NM of the Russia/Ukraine border. They must do a risk assessment if planning to operate in the UUWV/Moscow, ULLL/St Petersburg, or UWWW/Samara FIRs.
09Jan25 EASA CZIB 2025-01 R3 EASA recommends operators do not enter the airspace of Western Russia (west of longitude 60 Degrees East) at any level due to a risk of misidentification and anti-aircraft fire. A lack of military coordination and defence against Ukranian drone and missile attacks has significantly increased danger to civil aviation. Extensive GNSS interference is also cited.
03Jan25 Germany AIC 03/26 German operators should not enter the UUWV, URRV, ULLL, USSV and UWWW FIRs due to potential risk from military activity.
27Jun24 France AIC 011/26 French operators should not enter the airspace of Russia within 200NM of the FIR boundaries with Ukraine, and exercise caution in the rest of the UUWV/Moscow and URRV/Rostov FIRs.
14Nov22 USA FAA Information Note Russia/Ukraine The Russia/Ukraine conflict spillover risk is increasing. Russia periodically launches missiles targeting Ukraine which transit Moldovan airspace. Reports of comms and GPS jamming outside the conflict zone, particularly over the Black Sea and Caspian Sea. Expanded drone activity, especially around Crimea and eastern Ukraine.
24Feb22 USA Notam KICZ A0005/22 US operators are prohibited from Russian airspace within 160 NM of the FIR boundaries with Ukraine.
24Feb22 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators are prohibited from the URRV/Rostov FIR, and the airspace of Russia within 200nm of the FIR boundaries with Ukraine in the UUWV/Moscow FIR.
Haiti
Oct 2026: FAA restrictions remain in force for covered US operators below 10,000 ft MSL in designated areas of Haiti, including around MTPP/Port-au-Prince. Overflights above 10,000 ft MSL and ops outside the restricted areas do not require FAA authorisation.

See OPSGROUP Briefing: Haiti Crisis: Airport Attacked, Aircraft Shot, March 2024

The primary risk is gang gunfire and drone activity against aircraft flying low near MTPP/Port-au-Prince. The FAA reports at least 11 aircraft attacked in the area since February 2024, and keeps covered US operators out of low-level ops in designated areas. Canada, France and the UK also advise against low-level flights in the MTEG/Port-au-Prince FIR. France advises its operators not to serve MTPP/Port-au-Prince.



Major events:
Sep 2026: The FAA extended its low-altitude restrictions.
Nov 2024: Gunfire hit a Spirit aircraft approaching MTPP/Port-au-Prince. A JetBlue aircraft later found a bullet hole after returning to KJFK/New York.
March-May 2024: Gang violence and attacks forced MTPP/Port-au-Prince to close for nearly three months.
01Sep26 USA Notam KICZ A0046/26 US operators are prohibited from operating below 10,000ft MSL in parts of Haiti airspace around MTPP/Port-au-Prince, including an additional 17 NM area to the north. Overflights above 10,000 ft MSL do not require FAA authorization.

11Jun26 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators are recommended not to fly below FL100 within the specified area of MTEG/Port-au-Prince FIR due to risks to aviation from gang activity.

28Aug25 France AIC 011/26 French operators should remain at or above FL100 in Haiti airspace, and not go to MTPP/Port Au Prince airport.
15Nov24 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) UK operators should not enter the airspace of Haiti below 10,000 ft AGL due to the risk of small arms fire.
Saudi Arabia
Oct 2026: Saudi airspace remains technically open, but the security situation has deteriorated sharply. Houthi missile and drone attacks have increasingly targeted civil aviation, including repeated attacks on OERK/Riyadh and strikes on OEAB/Abha, OEGN/Jazan and OENG/Najran. Attacks on Oct 6-8 caused fatalities, including a Saudia Airlines pilot. Short-notice airport closures, diversions and airspace disruption are a major concern.



The primary risk is sustained missile and drone attacks by Houthi forces in Yemen, with recent strikes demonstrating that the threat extends across Saudi Arabia, including Riyadh. Air-defence responses also create a risk of misidentification and miscommunication - including along overflight routes.

Several states maintain airspace warnings for the OEJD/Jeddah FIR. EASA now recommends avoiding two areas of Saudi airspace (one in the southeast and one in the northwest) while advising caution in the remainder of the FIR. Saudi authorities warn that ESCAT procedures may be activated at short notice. You can find details of those procedures here.

We recommend avoiding Saudi airspace entirely, including overflights and the use of Saudi airports as en-route alternates. The northern route via Turkey, Azerbaijan and the Caspian Sea is the preferred alternative for Europe-Asia traffic.

Major events:
Oct 2026: Repeated Houthi attacks targeted OERK/Riyadh, OEAB/Abha, OEGN/Jazan and OENG/Najran, with fatalities reported.
Oct 2026: Safeairspace raised Saudi Arabia warning to Level 1 - Do Not Fly.
Sep 2026: A Houthi ballistic missile targeted Riyadh, with subsequent disruption at OERK. Jeddah also closed at short notice during an air-defence response.
July 2026: Yemeni government forces struck the runway at OYSN/Sanaa to prevent an Iranian aircraft from landing. Houthi forces subsequently warned airlines against overflying Saudi Arabia.
2020-2022: Repeated Houthi drone and missile attacks targeted airports in southwest Saudi Arabia.
11Oct26 USA Notam KICZ A0056/26 Caution for US operators in the OEJD/Jeddah FIR due to potential risks from ongoing military activity and GNSS interference.
09Oct26 EASA CZIB 2026-09-R1 Operators should avoid two areas of Saudi airspace - one in the southeast (RIBOK-BOSUT-MIGDA-RAGNO-MIXUG-DEKLO-OBSAM-SILPA) and one in the northwest (ULBAM-TOTEB-DURMA-LAKSO-SOLAT). Caution is advised in the remainder of the Jeddah FIR.
08Oct26 Canada Notam CZVR F5624/26 Canadian operators are recommended not to enter the OEJD/Jeddah FIR at all levels due to ongoing risks associated with military activity, including drones, missiles and air defence activations. This supercedes the advice found within AIC 17/26.
07Oct26 France Notam LFFF F2063/26 French operators should not enter most of the OEJD/Jeddah FIR except on routes across northern Saudi Arabia or along the western side of the country at FL320 or above. OEJN/Jeddah airport may also be used as an alternate.
07Oct26 Germany Notam EDWW B0790/26 German operators are warned about missile, drone and military activity risks in the OEJD/Jeddah FIR, particularly in the southwest near Yemen.
01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2226/26 Caution to Italian operators in the OEJD/Jeddah FIR where ATC could apply ESCAT procedures with short notice.
29Sep23 France AIC 011/26 French operators should exercise caution in the southwest of the OEJD/Jeddah FIR where ATC could apply ESCAT procedures.
10Aug23 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators advised caution in the OEJD/Jeddah FIR due to potential risk from anti-aviation weaponry and military operations; also due to short notice ESCAT rules in airspace next to Yemen.
17Mar22 USA FAA Information Note Saudi Arabia/Yemen There is a potential risk to ops at Saudi airports and for overflights of the OEJD/Jeddah FIR due to Houthi drone and missile attacks from Yemen and the associated defensive operations.
28Jan21 Saudi Arabia Notam OEJD W0120/21 ESCAT rules may be activated at any time in the south part of the OEJD/Jeddah FIR, when Saudi air defenses are repelling drone and missile attacks from Yemen. Operators will likely be given a change of route directly out of the airspace, or will be directed to land at the nearest airport.
Iran
Oct 2026: OIIX/Tehran FIR remains only partially open. The eastern part is available for overflights, while the western part remains closed, and very few international operators are using Iranian airspace. Multiple states now advise their operators not to enter the FIR.

See OPSGROUP Briefing: Middle East airspace situation - 2026

The primary risk is misidentification of civil aircraft by Iranian air-defence systems during heightened military tension. Iran remains on high military alert, while missile activity, air-defence operations and the risk of sudden escalation create a high risk at all altitudes. The shoot-down of Ukraine International Airlines flight 752 over Tehran in Jan 2020 shows how quickly this can affect civil aviation. France, Germany, Italy, the UK, Canada and the US all advise against, or prohibit, ops in OIIX/Tehran FIR.



Major events:
Sep 2026: France, Germany and Italy issued or renewed warnings advising their operators not to enter OIIX/Tehran FIR.
Jun 2026: Iran partially reopened the eastern part of OIIX/Tehran FIR for overflights, while the western part remained closed.
Mar 2026: OIIX/Tehran FIR closed following large-scale US and Israeli strikes on Iranian military targets and subsequent Iranian missile and drone retaliation.
Jun 2025: Israel and Iran exchanged missile strikes, prompting renewed airspace warnings.
Oct 2024: Israel and Iran exchanged missile attacks, leading to widespread airspace avoidance.
Jan 2020: Iran shot down Ukraine International Airlines flight 752 over Tehran after misidentifying the aircraft as a hostile target.
30Sep26 France Notam LFFF F1994/26 French operators should not enter the airspace of Iran.
11Sep26 Germany Notam EDWW B0746/26 German operators should not enter the airspace of Iran. Overrides the caution in the previous AIC.
01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2212/26 Italian operators should avoid the OIIX/Tehran FIR.
08Jul26 EASA CZIB 2026-04-R2 Operators should avoid Iran airspace.
15Feb25 Germany AIC 03/26 Caution to German operators in the airspace of Iran due to the potential risk from anti-aviation weaponry.
03Oct24 USA SFAR 117 US operators are prohibited from overflying the OIIX/Tehran FIR due to the risk of misidentification, and unannounced military activities in the region.
03Oct24 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) UK operators should not enter the OIIX/Tehran FIR due to potential risk from anti-aviation weaponry.
09Apr20 France AIC 011/26 French operators should not overfly the western half of the country (everywhere west of 54 Degrees East longitude); overflights of the eastern half should be at or above FL320.
17Feb20 USA Notam KICZ A0016/20 US operators should exercise caution in the overwater airspace in the Persian Gulf and Gulf of Oman. Avoid the airways nearest to the OIIX/Tehran FIR whenever possible, to reduce the risk of miscalculation or misidentification by air defence systems.
10Jan20 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators should not enter the OIIX/Tehran FIR, due to the potential risk from anti-aviation weaponry and military operations.
Yemen
Oct 2026: Yemen remains an active conflict zone, and the vast majority of Yemeni airspace (the OYSC/Sanaa FIR) should be avoided. Several countries prohibit aircraft from overflying any land portion of the FIR. US operators can still use offshore routes UT702 and M999, while other countries permit flights on overwater portions of Yemeni airspace. The security situation has deteriorated sharply since Sep 2026, with renewed fighting between Houthi and Saudi-backed government forces and an increase in missile and drone attacks. Saudi airspace to the north and Somali airspace to the south also carry risks.

The primary risk is intentional targeting by Houthi forces and other groups with access to sophisticated missiles, drones and anti-aircraft weaponry. Civil aircraft are also exposed to the wider military activity, including Saudi-led airstrikes and Houthi missile and drone attacks.

Major events:
Oct 2026: Fighting has intensified between Houthi and Saudi-backed government forces, particularly around the Bab el-Mandeb area.
Oct 2026: OYAA/Aden airport was targeted - a missile landed near the runway as a Cairo flight was approaching and the flight was diverted to Jeddah.
Jul 2026: Yemeni government forces struck the runway at OYSN/Sanaa airport to prevent an Iranian aircraft from landing.
Dec 2024 - ongoing: OYSN/Sanaa Airport remains closed following Israeli airstrikes.
Jan 2024: US and UK airstrikes against Houthi targets began following missile and drone attacks in the Red Sea.

01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2220/26 Italian operators should avoid OYSC/Sanaa FIR and the southern Red Sea.
07Jan25 USA SFAR 115 US operators are prohibited from overflying the OYSC/Sanaa FIR north of a line KAPET-NODMA-IMPAG-TIMAD-PARIM-RIBOK (i.e. the landmass). The US FAA specifically mentions UT702 and M999 offshore routes as being ok to use.
13Feb24 Germany AIC 03/26 German operators are banned from the airspace over the Yemen landmass within the OYSC/Sanaa FIR up to (but not including) airway B400 over the ocean. For the rest of Yemen’s oceanic airspace, operators should exercise caution. (Check map here.)
17Mar22 USA FAA Information Note Saudi Arabia/Yemen There is a potential risk to ops at Saudi airports and for overflights of the OEJD/Jeddah FIR due to Houthi drone and missile attacks from Yemen and the associated defensive operations.
04Nov21 France AIC 011/26 French operators should avoid Yemeni airspace, except at or above FL320 in the oceanic airspace in the east of the OYSC/Sanaa FIR (airway B400 and east of).
09Feb21 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators should not enter the OYSC/Sanaa FIR, including the oceanic part up to airway UT702, due to the potential risks from anti-aviation weaponry and military operations
31Aug17 EASA CZIB 2017-07R20 Operators should avoid the Yemen Sana’a FIR over land, and exercise caution on oceanic routes east of airway B400.
08Sep15 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) UK operators should avoid the OYSC/Sanaa FIR except airways N315, UL425 and R401, due to potential risk from anti-aviation weaponry.
Lebanon
Oct 2026: Lebanese airspace (the OLBB/Beirut FIR) remains high risk, with Israeli military activity continuing despite ceasefire efforts. Most international operators continue to avoid the airspace.

See OPSGROUP Briefing: Middle East airspace situation - 2026

The primary risk is military activity linked to the Israel-Hezbollah conflict, including Israeli airstrikes and the risk of misidentification by air defence systems. Several countries advise operators to avoid Lebanese airspace. EASA maintains this advice at all altitudes, except for flights to and from Beirut that approach from the sea or depart over the sea. GPS jamming and spoofing are also reported in the FIR.



Major events:
Oct 2026: EASA maintains its warning against Lebanese airspace, with exceptions for Beirut flights over the sea.
Sep 2026: Germany, Italy, France and the UK maintain airspace warnings for Lebanon.
Aug 2026: Lebanon warns of increased GPS jamming and spoofing, recommending conventional ATS routes.
Feb - July 2026: Israeli airstrikes continued despite ceasefire extensions.
Oct 2024: Israel launched a ground operation against Hezbollah in southern Lebanon.
Nov 2023 - ongoing: GNSS jamming and spoofing reported in the OLBB/Beirut FIR.
09Oct26 UK Notam EGTT V0024/26 UK operators should avoid Lebanon airspace, except for flights to/from OLBA/Beirut airport over the sea.
11Sep26 Germany Notam EDWW B0747/26 German operators should not enter the airspace of Lebanon.
01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2219/26 Italian operators should not enter the OLBB/Beirut FIR.
01Sep26 France Notam LFFF F1805/26 French operators should avoid Lebanon airspace, except for flights to/from OLBA/Beirut airport over the sea.
15Aug26 Lebanon Notam OLBB A0191/26 Warning of GPS jamming and spoofing in the OLBB/Beirut FIR, pilots should stick to conventional ATS routes.
08Jul26 EASA CZIB 2026-06-R2 Operators should avoid Lebanon airspace, except for operations to/from OLBA/Beirut that approach from the sea or depart over the sea.
01Aug24 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators should not enter the OLBB/Beirut FIR due to potential risk from military activity.
23Apr21 USA FAA Information Note Syria/Israel An errant surface-to-air missile fired by Syrian air defences missed its target and landed in Israel on 22 Apr 2021. Syria is actively using long range anti-aircraft weaponry which poses a risk to civil aircraft in the region. While US operators are banned from the OSTT/Damascus FIR, the FAA warns the threat is extended to adjacent FIRs in the Eastern Mediterranean region including the LLLL/Tel Aviv, OJAC/Amman, OLBB/Beirut and LCCC/Nicosia FIRs. Use caution if operating in the area. 
14Apr18 USA Notam KICZ A0009/18 Exercise caution within 200 NM of the Damascus FIR due to military activity. Possibility of GPS interference, communication jamming, and long-range surface to air missiles in the area.
Sudan
Following a military coup in April 2023, Sudan remains closed to all civilian flights. In South Sudan, air navigation services remain suspended above FL245. There is ongoing fighting in Sudan between government and militant forces. HSSK/Khartoum airport is closed, but no Notams are being issued. There is a Contingency Plan available with published overflight routes via HSPN/Port Sudan, Egypt, Saudi Arabia and South Sudan. If routing via nearby airspace, be aware of other active warnings in close proximity.

Several countries have issued airspace warning advising their operators not to enter the airspace of Sudan, due to risks from anti-aircraft weaponry and military activity.

Read: OPSGROUP article: Sudan Airspace Update, Nov 2025

The primary risk now relates to security on the ground for any unplanned diversions to airports in Sudan. Throughout the conflict, there have been reports of passenger jets being targeted by gunfire at HSSK/Khartoum Airport.

The secondary risk relates to Sudan’s proximity to South Sudan - which has poor levels of ATC provision for overflights below FL245.

Major events:
Nov 2025: Il-76 reportedly shot down by a surface-to-air missile near Babanusa, southern Sudan.
May 2025: Drone attack targeting critical infrastructure including HSPN/Port Sudan airport.
Oct 2024: Foreign-registered cargo aircraft was shot down by local militia over North Darfur (Western Sudan, near the border with Chad).
Apr 2023: Military coup on Apr 15. Sudan’s airspace closed, South Sudan’s airspace closed above FL245.
Oct 2021: Military coup on Oct 25. HSSK/Khartoum airport closed for two days, with all flights suspended.

01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2227/26 Italian operators should avoid the HSSS/Khartoum FIR.
14Dec23 France AIC 002/26 French operators should not enter the airspace of Sudan, nor file Sudanese airports as alternates.
18May23 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators should avoid the HSSS/Khartoum FIR due to risks from anti-aircraft weaponry and military activity.
26Apr23 EASA CZIB 2023-01 R8 Operators should not enter the airspace of Sudan at all levels.
21Apr23 Germany AIC 03/26 German operators are prohibited from entering the HSSS/Khartoum FIR.
21Apr23 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) UK operators should not enter the airspace of Sudan due to risks from anti-aircraft weaponry and military activity.
Libya
A civil war has been ongoing since 2014. Some progress made in Oct 2020 with the formation of a new government, but Libya remains an active conflict zone with armed clashes between various rival militia groups across the country. There is a high risk to civil aircraft. Libyan airspace (HLLL/Tripoli FIR) should be avoided entirely. Total flight ban for US operators, and several other countries have warnings in place.

The primary risk is a misident by Libyan air defense systems, or by militia who have threatened to shoot down aircraft operating in western Libya, including HLLM/Tripoli Mitiga airport. Military activity reported over the high-seas which is either operating as OAT or not in control with ATC. Risk remains high across Libya at all flight levels, and avoidance of all airspace and airports is strongly recommended.

The secondary risk is that reliable ATC services cannot be guaranteed. The past few years have seen regular ATS and radar outages across the HLLL FIR airspace, and severe limitations in VHF capability, with operators having to communicate with Malta ATC for guidance.

Read: Libya Airspace Update, Feb 2024 (OPSGROUP article)

Major events:
August 2023: Major evacuation of aircraft from Tripoli due to violent clashes and gunfire at Mitiga airport. Read: Tripoli mass evacuation of aircraft (OPSGROUP article)
July 2023: Italy cancelled its 10-year ban on flights to/from Libya. Aircraft are no longer banned from Italian airports and airspace if they want to fly from Libya.
Aug 2022: Militia air defense forces claimed to have shot down a US drone operating in the vicinity of Benghazi during a period of increased tensions and threats of renewed violence between competing militias vying for control of Tripoli.
June 2022: Failed attempt by militia to enter Tripoli to seize control of government offices, resulting in armed clashes and suspension of flights at HLLM/Mitiga airport.
Jan 2020: Multiple airstrikes targeting HLLM/Mitiga airport. Videos on social media showing planes landing at the airport as shells are falling in the background.
Nov 2019: Militia advancing on the capital, Tripoli, declared a no-fly-zone around the city, threatening to shoot-down civil aircraft attempting to fly to HLLM/Mitiga airport.
2014: HLLT/Tripoli airport closed after clashes between rival militias destroyed most of the airport's facilities. The airport remains closed to this day; most flights operate out of HLLM/Mitiga airport.

30Jul26 France Notam LFFF F1625/26 French operators are advised not to enter the HLLL/Tripoli FIR at any level. The following airway segments are exempt: R778 (DITAR KUFRA TONBA), M999 (Zarzaitine SEBHA) and G655 (SEBHA GARIN) provided you maintain FL320 and above.
28May26 France AIC 011/26 French operators should avoid Libyan airspace except on routes M999 and G655/M214 above FL320, with a robust risk assessment required before entry.
20Mar25 USA SFAR 112 US operators are prohibited from the HLLL/Tripoli FIR, but are permitted to operate in the overwater airspace off the north coast of Libya and a tiny portion in the south of the FIR over Chad.
19Apr21 Germany AIC 03/26 German operators should avoid Libyan airspace.
18Feb20 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators should not enter the HLLL/Tripoli FIR, due to the potential risk from anti- aviation weaponry and military operations.
31Mar17 EASA CZIB 2017-02R20 Operators should avoid the airspace of Libya below FL320, except for flights to airports located on the coast (as long as you approach from the sea, coordinate with local authorities and ATC, and conduct a robust risk assessment). Above FL320, operators should exercise caution and take potential risks into account.
12Jun15 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) UK operators are no longer prohibited, but are still strongly advised not to enter the HLLL/Tripoli FIR due to risk posed by anti-aircraft weaponry. This advice supersedes what is currently contained in the AIP.
Ukraine
Ukraine closed its entire airspace to all civil traffic on Feb 24, 2022, due to a military invasion by Russia. There is an ongoing active conflict in Ukraine between Russian and Ukrainian forces. Russia, Belarus and Moldova have closed large sections of their own airspace near to their FIR boundaries with Ukraine.

All the major countries who regularly issue airspace warnings (the US, UK, Canada, France, Germany, Italy) have since issued total flight bans for Ukraine due to risk from military activity at all levels. (Several other countries have also issued flight bans for Ukraine but we have not listed them all here due to sheer volume).

The primary risk is an unintended targeting of civil aircraft by military, including misidentification (as with MAS17, UIA752), or confusion.

The secondary risk is potential lack of Ukrainian Air Traffic Control Service at short notice (Cyber Attack), and other unforeseeable non-normal operating environments for civil aircraft.

Read: OPSGROUP article: Ukraine and Russia Update March 2022



Prior to February 2022, there were two areas of concern in Ukraine - the conflict in the far east of the country (affecting UKDV/Dnipro FIR) and the double claim over ATC and airspace in Crimea (UKFV/URFV/Simferopol FIR).
22Sep26 Ukraine Notam UKBV A0081/26 Ukraine airspace remains closed to all civil flights (since Feb 2022) due to Russian invasion and ongoing conflict.
01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2213/26 Italian operators are prohibited from the airspace of Ukraine, including the contested UKFV/Simferopol FIR over Crimea (claimed by Russia as the URFV FIR).
27Jun24 France AIC 011/26 French operators should not enter the airspace of Ukraine, including the contested UKFV/Simferopol FIR over Crimea (claimed by Russia as the URFV FIR).
14Nov22 USA FAA Information Note Russia/Ukraine The Russia/Ukraine conflict spillover risk is increasing. Russia periodically launches missiles targeting Ukraine which transit Moldovan airspace. Reports of comms and GPS jamming outside the conflict zone, particularly over the Black Sea and Caspian Sea. Expanded drone activity, especially around Crimea and eastern Ukraine.
24Feb22 EASA CZIB 2022-01 R14 Operators should not enter the airspace of Ukraine.
24Feb22 USA Notam KICZ A0004/22 US operators are are prohibited from the airspace of Ukraine, including the contested UKFV/Simferopol FIR over Crimea (claimed by Russia as the URFV FIR).
24Feb22 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators are prohibited from the airspace of Ukraine, including the contested UKFV/Simferopol FIR over Crimea (claimed by Russia as the URFV FIR).
24Feb22 Germany AIC 03/26 German operators are prohibited from the airspace of Ukraine, including the contested UKFV/Simferopol FIR over Crimea (claimed by Russia as the URFV FIR).
24Feb22 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) UK operators are prohibited from the airspace of Ukraine, including the contested UKFV/Simferopol FIR over Crimea (claimed by Russia as the URFV FIR).

LEVEL 2: Assessed Risk

Assessed Risk applies to countries that are the subject of airspace warnings by EASA, FAA, UK DFT, German BMVI, French DGAC, but only for specific portions or below certain altitudes

Ethiopia
Oct 2026: Government-aligned forces have retaken Mekelle after Tigrayan forces withdrew from the city on 3 October. Ethiopian Airlines resumed flights to HAMK/Mekelle on 11 October, but fighting and wider tensions in northern Ethiopia continue.

The primary risk is armed conflict, including drone, artillery and anti-aircraft activity, particularly in Tigray, Afar and Amhara. The UK advises operators to consider the risk when overflying these regions. Italy and Germany warn of military threats across the HAAA/Addis Ababa FIR. EASA advises risk assessment below FL260, especially north of 8.5°N. French operators should remain at or above FL320 in specified northern airspace and use great caution below FL320 elsewhere in the FIR.



Major Events:
Oct 2026: Government-aligned forces retook Mekelle. Ethiopian Airlines resumed flights to HAMK/Mekelle on 11 Oct. Fighting and regional tensions continue.
Sep 2026: Tigrayan forces took control of HAMK/Mekelle. Ethiopian Airlines suspended flights to HAMK/Mekelle, HATF/Axum and HASI/Shire as fighting escalated.
Feb 2024: Fighting flared again in Amhara, including air strikes.
Nov 2022: A peace deal was agreed in Tigray. Ethiopian Airlines planned to resume flights to HAMK/Mekelle.
July 2021: HAAA/Addis Ababa FIR airspace below FL290 was closed over Tigray after a military aircraft was reportedly shot down near Mekelle.
Nov 2020: Conflict escalated in Tigray. Airways were closed, airports hit by rockets and missiles fired into Eritrea.
Sep 2018: Ethiopian ATC controllers went on strike. Retired and foreign controllers were brought in to cover ops.
02Oct26 UK Notam EGTT V0030/26 Caution to UK operators overflying the Tigray, Afar and Amhara regions.
01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2228/26 Caution to Italian operators in the HAAA/Addis Ababa FIR due to risks from anti-aircraft weaponry.
30Apr26 EASA Information Note Operators should take potential risk into account below FL260 in the airspace of Ethiopia - in particular northern parts.
02Apr26 Germany AIC 03/26 Caution to German operators in the HAAA/Addis Ababa FIR due to risk posed by anti-aircraft weaponry.
14Dec23 France AIC 011/26 French operators should not fly in the northern section of the HAAA/Addis Ababa FIR below FL320 (previous advice advised against all flights in this area).
17Nov20 OPSGROUP Airspace Risk Warning ARW11-2020 Airspace Risk warning for Ethiopia/Eritrea - Tigray Conflict Zone. Risk to overflights on adjacent airways, and airports in region.
30Aug18 KACTA Letter of Concern Safety Issues in Ethiopia Kenyan ATC Controllers have listed out several major issues with safety both in Ethiopia and in the area shared with Kenyan airspace.
29Aug18 OPSGROUP Research Article Ethiopia Covering Up ATC Strike Ethiopian ATC Controllers went on strike, and ECAA and Ethiopian Airlines used foreign and retired controllers to cover, causing safety concerns.
Afghanistan
Oct 2026: The OAKX/Kabul FIR remains open and uncontrolled, with no ATC service. It continues to carry Europe-Asia traffic rerouted around Middle East restrictions. Renewed Pakistani airstrikes have raised the risk near the border.

See OPSGROUP Briefing: March 2026 - Afghanistan Overflight Update.

The primary risk comes from military activity near the Pakistan border and the lack of ATC across the OAKX/Kabul FIR. EASA, France, Germany and Canada advise against ops below FL320. Italy’s restriction allows P500 and G500 below its 25,000 ft AGL limit, while US operators may use those routes from FL300. With no ATC, aircraft must follow published contingency routes and use TIBA procedures to maintain separation.



Major events:
Oct 2026: Pakistani airstrikes in Kunar and Helmand renewed cross-border fighting. The UN reported civilian casualties, while Pakistan said it had targeted militants.
March 2026: Middle East airspace closures sent more Europe-Asia traffic through the OAKX/Kabul FIR. Cross-border fighting with Pakistan also resumed.
Feb 2026: Cross-border strikes between Pakistan and Afghanistan escalated; commercial traffic continues to transit the FIR including via P500 and G500.
Aug 2021: After the Taliban takeover and allied withdrawal, the OAKX/Kabul FIR lost ATC service and became uncontrolled Class G airspace.
01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2215/26 Italian operators should not enter the OAKX/Kabul FIR below 25000 ft AGL. Airways P500/G500 not affected.
25Aug26 UK Notam EGTT V0028/26 UK Notam extended, no change to warning: caution to UK operators in OAKX/Kabul FIR due to potential risk from heightened military activity.
01Jul25 USA SFAR 119 US operators are permitted to overfly the OAKX/Kabul FIR at FL320 and above, and airways P500/G500 at FL300 and above.
31Oct24 Germany AIC 03/26 German operators should not enter the OAKX/Kabul FIR below FL330.
23Aug24 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators should not enter the airspace of Afghanistan except for overflights at or above FL320.
28Sep23 France AIC 011/26 French operators should not overfly the OAKX/Kabul FIR below FL320.
17Oct17 EASA CZIB 2017-08 R18 Operators should not enter the airspace of Afghanistan below FL320.
Israel
Oct 2026: LLLL/Tel Aviv FIR is open, but the security situation remains volatile. Missile and drone threats can lead to short-notice restrictions or disruption, and some international airlines have still not returned to LLBG/Tel Aviv.

See OPSGROUP Briefing: Middle East airspace situation - 2026

The primary risk is missile and drone attacks linked to Iran and regional militant groups, including Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen. Air-defence activity and interceptions add a risk of falling debris and sudden operational restrictions. Operators should account for the potential risk across the FIR and closely follow any short-notice instructions from Israeli authorities.



Major events:
Sep 2026: European guidance was updated to advise caution in LLLL/Tel Aviv FIR. Italy also issued an enhanced-caution warning for its operators.
Feb-Jul 2026: Israeli airspace closed and reopened several times during the Iran conflict following US and Israeli strikes on Iran and Iranian missile and drone retaliation.
Jun 2025: Israel and Iran exchanged missile strikes across the region.
Oct 2024: Israel and Iran carried out missile attacks against each other.
Oct 2023: Hamas and Hezbollah launched major attacks against Israel, triggering a large-scale Israeli military response.
30Sep26 EASA Information Note Exercise caution in Israel.
16Sep26 Russia Notam UUUU U1257/26 Russian operators are not permitted to depart for Israel between 2200-0400 UTC. Daytime flights are still allowed, but only if the airline has completed its own risk assessment.
01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2223/26 Italian operators should exercise caution in the airspace of Israel.
10Oct23 Canada AIC 17/26 Caution to Canadian operators in the LLLL/Tel Aviv FIR due to potential risk from military activity.
Syria
Oct 2026: Syrian airspace (the OSTT/Damascus FIR) remains high risk, but some regional operators have started using it again as an alternative to the more restricted Iran/Iraq routing. EASA has eased its advice, now allowing flights at FL260 and above in most of the FIR, although restrictions remain in the western part of the airspace.

The primary risk is military activity in and around Syrian airspace, including Israeli airstrikes and the interception of missiles and drones. Falling debris from intercepted weapons can pose a risk to civil aircraft, while air defence systems also create a risk of misidentification. Drones, rockets and MANPADS are an additional threat at lower levels.



Major events:
Oct 2026: EASA eased its Syria CZIB, allowing FL260+ in most of the Damascus FIR.
Oct 2026: Regional operators increasingly using Syrian airspace as an alternative to Iran and Iraq.
March 2026: OSTT/Damascus FIR closed following US and Israeli strikes on Iran.
Dec 2024: Syrian airspace closed following the fall of the Assad regime.
Oct 2023: Airstrikes damaged runways at OSDI/Damascus and OSAP/Aleppo.
Feb 2020: A320 diverted after being caught in crossfire near Damascus.
Sep 2018: Russian IL-20 shot down in error near the Syria-Cyprus FIR boundary.
01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2211/26 Italian operators should avoid the OSTT/Damascus FIR.
26Dec24 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators are prohibited from entering the airspace of Syria due to the potential risk from anti- aviation weaponry and military operations. Also caution for flights near the OSTT/Damascus FIR.
27Dec23 USA SFAR 114 US operators are prohibited from entering the OSTT/Damascus FIR.
23Apr21 USA FAA Information Note Syria/Israel An errant surface-to-air missile fired by Syrian air defences missed its target and landed in Israel on 22 Apr 2021. Syria is actively using long range anti-aircraft weaponry which poses a risk to civil aircraft in the region. While US operators are banned from the OSTT/Damascus FIR, the FAA warns the threat is extended to adjacent FIRs in the Eastern Mediterranean region including the LLLL/Tel Aviv, OJAC/Amman, OLBB/Beirut and LCCC/Nicosia FIRs. Use caution if operating in the area. 
09Apr20 France AIC 011/26 French operators should avoid Syrian airspace.
22Oct18 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) UK operators advised of potential risk within 200 NM of the OSTT/Damascus FIR due to anti-aviation weaponry.
14Apr18 USA Notam KICZ A0009/18 Exercise caution within 200 NM of the Damascus FIR due to military activity. Possibility of GPS Interference, Communication jamming, and long-range surface to air missiles in the area.
31Mar17 EASA CZIB 2017-03R19 Operators should not enter the airspace of Syria.
31Mar17 EASA CZIB 2017-03R20 Operators should not fly in the western part of the OSTT/Damascus FIR (west of the ZELAF–BASEM–LOTAX–LATEB line). Elsewhere in the FIR, flights below FL260 are also prohibited.
12Jun15 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) UK operators must not enter the OSTT/Damascus FIR.
Iraq
Oct 2026: The US and coalition military mission in Iraq ended on Sep 30, with forces departing Erbil. Iraqi airspace remains open to overflights, but the withdrawal removes a layer of US air defence around ORER/Erbil while armed factions remain active. This leaves Iraq more exposed to missile and drone attacks and localised insecurity, particularly in the Kurdistan Region.

See OPSGROUP Briefing: Middle East airspace situation - 2026

The primary risk remains missile and drone activity linked to regional conflicts, alongside the potential for misidentification by air defence systems and the presence of armed groups with access to anti-aircraft weapons. EASA continues to advise operators not to operate in the ORBB/Baghdad FIR at any altitude. Despite the FIR remaining open, most Europe-Asia traffic continues to route south via Egypt/Saudi or north via the Caucasus/Afghanistan.



Major events:
Oct 2026: US and coalition forces leave Erbil, removing a layer of air defence as armed factions remain active.
Mar 2026: ORBB/Baghdad FIR closed following strikes on Iran and Iranian retaliation.
Jun 2025: Airspace closed after Israeli strikes on Iran, missiles and drones transited Iraq.
Apr 2024: Airspace closed during Iran's drone and missile attack on Israel.
Apr 2023: Drone and missile attacks in northern Iraq launched from Turkey and Iran.
Oct 2021: US operators permitted to overfly ORBB/Baghdad FIR above FL320 under revised FAA rules.
05Oct26 Iraq Notam ORBB A0403/26 Iraq is warning operators to expect GPS jamming and spoofing in the northern part of the country.
30Sep26 France Notam LFFF F1995/26 French operators should not enter the airspace of Iraq.
01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2221/26 Italian operators should avoid the ORBB/Baghdad FIR.
08Jul26 EASA CZIB 2026-05-R2 Operators should avoid Iraq airspace.
28Aug25 France AIC 011/26 French operators overflying the ORBB/Baghdad FIR should only be on airways M860/L602/L718 northbound, or UM688 southbound, at or above FL320.
16Oct24 USA SFAR 77 US operators are prohibited from overflying the ORBB/Baghdad FIR below FL320 due to risks posed by terrorist and military activity.
06Oct22 USA FAA Information Note Iraq Ongoing political turmoil, militant activities, and military operations in Iraq poses an elevated risk to aviation and airspace safety. In recent months, militants have fired rockets in Baghdad’s Green Zone, causing flight disruptions at nearby ORBI/Baghdad airport; Iran continues to target northern Iraq with missile and drone attacks; and Turkey has been launching attacks along Iraq’s northern border.
12Sep22 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) UK operators should not overfly the ORBB/Baghdad FIR below FL320, due to potential risk from anti-aviation weaponry.
02Sep22 Germany AIC 03/26 German operators should not overfly the ORBB/Baghdad FIR below FL280.
18Nov21 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators should not overfly the ORBB/Baghdad FIR below FL320, due to the potential risk from anti- aviation weaponry and military operations.
15Jun21 USA FAA Information Note Iraq ORBI/Baghdad airport was targeted by weaponized drones on June 14, for the second time in a week. Local militia continue to show intent to target US interests at airports. This is exposing low level aircraft to risk from rocket and drone activity along with air defence systems.
08Jun21 USA FAA Information Note Iraq Recent rocket and drone attacks on ORBI/Baghdad and a nearby air base. Local militia are showing a renewed intent to target US interests at airports. This is exposing low level aircraft to risk from their activities, along with misidentification or miscalculation by air defence systems.
23Apr21 USA FAA Information Note Iraq More weaponised drones and indirect fire attacks are likely across Iraq, increasing the risk to aviation. At least three rockets were fired at ORBI/Baghdad on Apr 22, which wounded one person. Several more unfired rockets were found stashed on the rooftop of a nearby building which overlooks the airport. Iranian backed militia are thought to be responsible and continue to actively target US interests at airports throughout Iraq.
15Apr21 USA FAA Information Note Iraq Explosive drone attack by militia on US interests at ORER/Erbil Airport on April 14. It is unique as these kinds of attacks usually use less accurate rockets and mortars. It may signify that militia have increasing access to more sophisticated weapons which may pose a new threat to airports throughout Iraq including ORBI/Baghdad.
Kuwait
Sep 2026: Kuwait has kept restrictions on the OKAC/Kuwait FIR in place following the wider US-Iran conflict. The airspace is open for approved flights to OKKK/Kuwait airport, but overflights remain prohibited. The restriction has now been extended into November.

See OPSGROUP Briefing: Middle East airspace situation - 2026

The primary risk remains missile and drone activity linked to the wider regional conflict. Kuwait has already been directly affected by Iranian attacks, including strikes on OKKK/Kuwait airport where Terminal 1 was damaged in June. Military activity around the Kuwait/Bahrain FIR boundary has also been reported. GPS interference, ATC congestion and reroutes remain wider operational issues across the region.



Major events:
Sep 2026: Kuwait extended its airspace restrictions, with overflights still prohibited and approved arrivals/departures permitted.
Aug 2026: EASA issued revised guidance for the Persian Gulf following the US-Iran conflict, identifying continued risks from missile and drone activity, air defence operations and military activity.
Feb-July 2026: OKAC/Kuwait FIR was closed and reopened several times during the Iran conflict.
30Sep26 France Notam LFFF F2000/26 French operators should exercise great caution in the airspace of Kuwait.
14Jul26 EASA CZIB 2026-07R3 Operators should avoid airspace over the waters of the Persian Gulf within Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and UAE FIRs, plus the Gulf of Oman within the Muscat FIR west of 58 degrees east, except as necessary for arrivals/departures from aerodromes within the affected FIRs.
Pakistan
Tensions between Pakistan and India in the disputed Kashmir region, along with longstanding militant activity in parts of western Pakistan, create an ongoing risk in the OPKR/Karachi and OPLR/Lahore FIRs. In May 2025 there was a period of intense cross border shelling and aerial activity in Kashmir. A ceasefire has largely held since then, but the situation remains fragile and military activity could resume with little warning.

Several states and EASA maintain altitude based restrictions rather than full avoidance. Current guidance generally advises operators to remain at or above FL260.

The primary risks are from anti aviation weaponry, including the potential availability of MANPADS, particularly below FL260, as well as inadvertent risk from military activity or misidentification in the Kashmir region.



Major events:
Feb 2026: Cross border strikes between Pakistan and Afghanistan escalated. No new airspace closures or overflight bans issued, and commercial traffic continues to transit OAKX/Kabul FIR, including via P500 and G500.
May 2025: Four days of cross border strikes and shelling between India and Pakistan in the Kashmir region. A ceasefire announced on 10 May has largely held. Some operators temporarily rerouted south via the Gulf of Oman and UAE.
Jan 2024: Iran conducted missile and drone strikes against a militant group in western Pakistan, highlighting cross border military activity risk.
Dec 2023 - ongoing: Crew reports of GPS spoofing began emerging in the OPLR/Lahore FIR area, particularly around OPLA/Lahore.
Feb-Aug 2019: Pakistan closed its airspace to overflights following major clashes with India in the Kashmir region, including airstrikes on both sides.
01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2224/26 Italian operators should avoid the airspace of Pakistan below 25000 ft AGL.
29Oct20 Germany AIC 03/26 Caution to German operators below FL260 in the airspace of Pakistan due to potential risks from anti-aviation weaponry.
09Apr20 France AIC 011/26 French operators overflying Pakistan airspace should be at FL260 or above.
10Jan18 EASA CZIB 2018-02 R21 Operators should not enter the Baluchistan province (southwestern part of Pakistan) or the Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province (northwestern part of Pakistan) below FL260.
Venezuela
On 3 Jan 2026, the FAA briefly restricted US civil operations in the SVZM/Maiquetia FIR and parts of adjacent Caribbean FIRs following US military action in Venezuela, citing safety of flight concerns. That restriction was lifted within around 24 hours, and subsequent FAA Notams advising caution have now been fully rescinded. There are currently no FAA flight bans or cautionary advisories in effect for Venezuelan airspace. Following the Jan 3 strikes, several other states and EASA issued airspace warnings advising caution or avoidance of Venezuelan airspace and parts of the surrounding Caribbean. Those warnings reference risks including increased military activity, GPS interference, unpredictable traffic, and reduced ATC and traffic visibility.

Major Events:
Jan 2026: US conducts airstrikes in Venezuela. Intense military activity reported in Caracas. FAA issues multiple prohibition Notams affecting SVZM and adjacent Caribbean FIRs.
Late 2025: Expanded US naval and air operations in the southern Caribbean raise regional risk levels and prompt objections from Venezuela.
Nov 2025: FAA issues airspace warning for SVZM, citing GPS interference and increased military activity. Multiple international airlines suspend services or reroute.

16Feb26 EASA Information Note Operators should take potential risk into account in the airspace of Venezuela and neighbouring airspace.
21Nov25 USA FAA Information Note Venezeula In late 2025 Venezeula has carried out a mass mobilization of military assets, including the presence of advanced surface-to-air weaponry capable of reaching aircraft at all levels.

While no intent to target civil aviation has been announced, substantial risks exist for overflights.

In addition, there has been an increase in GPS interference in the SVZM/Maiquetia FIR with lasting effects on overflights. Jamming and spoofing may extend as far as 250nm from the source.
Congo DRC
There is ongoing conflict in eastern DRC, centred on North Kivu province around Goma along the border with Rwanda. Fighting between AFC/M23 rebels and Congolese forces continues to shift and remains unpredictable. The area should be considered an active conflict zone, with a credible risk from anti-aircraft weaponry, particularly at low level and on the ground near affected airports such as FZNA/Goma. The UK and Canada currently have airspace warnings in place covering the eastern portion of the Kinshasa FIR.

Major events:
Feb 2026: Explosive drone attacks at FZIC/Kisangani were claimed by the AFC/M23 rebel coalition, showing the group’s capability extends beyond the North Kivu/Goma area.
Jan 2026: Fighting remains active in eastern DRC despite diplomatic efforts, with rebel forces operating around key towns near the Rwanda and Burundi borders. The security situation continues to shift quickly.
Jan 2025: Rebel forces entered Goma. Heavy fighting was reported in the city and FZNA/Goma was declared closed during the clashes.
Feb 2024: A parked civilian aircraft at FZNA/Goma was damaged by at least one bomb dropped from a drone. Looks like military aircraft were being targeted.
Jan 2023: The Rwandan military shot at a fighter jet from the Congo DRC which they claimed had busted Rwandan airspace near FZNA/Goma. Reports suggest the aircraft was hit by a MANPAD at low level - the jet landed safely but sustained heavy damage.



Read: Africa Airspace Risk, Jet Shot in Rwanda, Jan 2023 (OPSGROUP article)
16Apr26 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) UK operators are recommended not to enter FZZA/Kinshasa FIR within 200 NM of the eastern boundary, between the 1st parallel north and the 5th parallel south, due to potential risk from anti-aircraft weaponry.
25Jul25 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators should not enter an easterly portion of DROC airspace (the FZZA/Kinshasa FIR) near the Rwanda/Burundi borders below FL260 due to the potential risk from anti-aircraft weaponry.
Somalia
The situation on the ground is highly unstable and there is an inherent risk to civilians and aircraft. The central government has little control of the major cities and ports, with ongoing attacks from extremist militants targeting civilians who continue to show an intent to target aviation interests.

The primary risk is to overflying aircraft at the lower flight levels, which may be targeted by anti-aircraft-capable weapons. The US prohibits flights across Somalia’s airspace (the HCSM/Mogadishu FIR) below FL260 except for flights transiting the overwater portion of the airspace going to/from HDAM/Djibouti airport across the border in Ethiopia. Several other countries have issued airspace warnings advising against operating below FL260.

The secondary risk is from aircraft transiting Somalia being contacted by unauthorized ATC units, who have been issuing climb/descent instructions that conflict with the official ones issued by Mogadishu Control. There’s also an authority dispute in the north of the HCSM/Mogadishu FIR. From Nov 2025, Somaliland has said all overflights require a PPR from its own CAA, while Somalia has reaffirmed through an AIC that it controls the entire FIR. Expect conflicting permit instructions near Hargeisa and northern Somalia.



Major events:
Feb 2024: OPSGROUP received several reports of aircraft within the Mogadishu FIR being contacted by a ‘fake controller’ on the same frequency, issuing conflicting instructions. More info here.
Aug 2023: Reports of uncontrolled operations including combat helicopters flying at low levels (FL030) not reporting position, altitude or routing,
Oct 2022: The Somalian government issued a warning that HCMM/Mogadishu airport may be targeted by militant groups amid the escalating conflict in the country.
May 2022: Class A airspace implemented in the HCSM/Mogadishu FIR above FL245. More info here.
2020-ongoing: Multiple instances of Al-Shabaab attacks on HCMM/Mogadishu and nearby targets, including a UN compound.
May 2020: An Embraer EMB-120 was shot down while on approach to Bardale airstrip, killing all six people on board - an accidental shoot-down by Ethiopian forces stationed in the region to combat Al-Shabaab.
01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2225/26 Italian operators should avoid the HCSM/Mogadishu FIR below 25000 ft AGL.
14Dec23 France AIC 002/26 French operators should stay at or above FL260 in the HCSM/Mogadishu FIR, except in the overwater portion.
27Dec22 USA SFAR 107 US operators are prohibited operating below FL260 in the airspace of Somalia (the HCSM/Mogadishu FIR). Aircraft transiting through the airspace to or from HDAM/Djibouti airport across the border in the airspace of Ethiopia (the HAAA/Addis Ababa FIR) are permitted to operate below FL260 providing they remain overwater and fly a published instrument procedure or stay under the direction of ATC.
09Feb21 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators overflying the HCSM/FIR Mogadishu FIR should be at FL260 or above, due to the potential risk from anti- aviation weaponry and military operations.
13Apr18 Somalia Notam A0035/18 Somalia themselves published a Notam in 2018 saying that armed conflict and a lack of Aeronautical information present a safety and security risk to aircraft.
31Mar17 EASA CZIB 2017-05R20 Operators should avoid the airspace of Somalia below FL260.
04Feb16 Germany AIC 03/26 German operators should not overfly the HCSM/Mogadishu FIR below FL260, except for east of 54E (oceanic airspace).
15Jan16 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) UK operators should avoid the HCSM/Mogadishu FIR below 25,000 ft AGL, due to the potential risk from anti-aircraft weaponry.
Mali
The conflict in northern and central Mali has continued since 2012 and the security situation remains volatile. Several countries have airspace warnings in place, typically advising operations at or above FL250 or FL260 and avoiding GATB/Timbuktu, GAGO/Gao and GAKL/Kidal.

The US advises caution in Mali airspace at all levels due to ongoing fighting, expanding militant activity, and the presence of a state run paramilitary force operating anti aircraft systems, military aircraft, UAS and electronic warfare equipment.

The primary risks include MANPADS and other surface to air weapons, indirect fire near airports, and the potential for misidentification or spillover from military activity. Low level and airport phase operations carry the highest exposure.

ATS in Mali is provided by the GOOO/Dakar and DRRR/Niamey FIRs. They have a long-standing restriction for overflights of Mali to published ATS routes at FL320 and above. More info can be found in this ASECNA AIP SUP.



Major events:
April 2026: The security situation has escalated sharply. On April 25, multiple armed groups carried out coordinated attacks nationwide against state and military targets, with gunfire and explosions reported near GABS/Bamako. Sporadic fighting is ongoing. France has issued a new airspace warning advising French operators not to operate to/from GABS, or use it as an alternate. Several other states maintain active airspace warnings due to risk of anti-aircraft fire and terrorist activity.
Sep 2024: Insurgents breached GABS/Bamako and set the presidential jet on fire. Multiple attacks occurred across the city and the airport closed temporarily. This was the first major attack in Bamako in several years.
Dec 2023: Germany prohibited its operators below FL260 in northern Mali due to escalating militant activity. Commercial flights to GATB/Timbuktu were cancelled after shelling near the airport. A military jet crashed near GAGO/Gao the same day, with reports it may have been shot down.
Aug 2020: All airports closed for two days during a military coup. Bamako ACC remained operational and overflights were unaffected.
Apr 2018: Militants attacked UN bases near GATB/Timbuktu using indirect fire and vehicle bombs.
Jan 2017 and Nov 2016: Vehicle bomb and rocket attacks targeted GAGO/Gao and GATB/Timbuktu airports.
16Sep26 France Notam LFFF F1912/26 French operators are advised to remain at or above FL320 in the portions of the GOOO/Dakar and DRRR/Niamey FIRs overhead Mali. GABS/Bamako should not be used at this time (including as an alternate) due to a deteriorating security situation.
01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2214/26 Italian operators should avoid the airspace of Mali below 25000 ft AGL.
07Aug26 Canada Notam CZUL H5014/26 Canadian operators are recommended to remain at or above FL320 while in portions of the GOOO/Dakar and DRRR/Niamey FIRs overhead Mali due to risk of anti-aircraft fire and military activity.
04Aug26 United Kingdom Notam EGTT V0026/26 Operators should not enter the portions of the GOOO/Dakar and DRRR/Niamey FIRs over Mali below 25,000 ft AGL due to risks posed by anti -aircraft fire and military activity.
20Feb26 USA Notam KICZ A0023/26 US operators advised to exercise caution in Mali airspace at all levels due to ongoing fighting, militant activity, state-run paramilitary presence, and advanced air defense systems.
20Feb26 USA FAA Information Note Caution for US operators in Mali airspace at all levels due to ongoing fighting, expanding militant activity, and the presence of a state-run paramilitary force operating advanced air defense, aircraft, UAS and electronic warfare systems.
07Apr25 Mali Notam GOOO A0387/25 & DAAA A1040/25 Mali and Algeria have a reciprocal airspace ban in place due to ongoing political disputes. Algeria has banned flights from the DAAA/Alger FIR if they are operating to or from airports in Mali. Mali goes one step further - they ban flights from their airspace if arriving from or heading into Algerian airspace, regardless of whether a landing is planned at an Algerian airport.
19Nov24 Germany AIC 03/26 German operators should not enter the airspace of Mali below FL260.
17Mar23 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) Caution to UK operators in the airspace of Mali due to the potential risk from anti-aviation weaponry.
09Apr20 France AIC 011/26 French operators overflying the part of the DRRR/Niamey FIR located above the Malian territory should be at or above FL320.
31Mar17 EASA CZIB 2017-01R21 Operators should avoid the airspace of Mali below FL260, particularly the northeast of the country.
North Korea
The primary risk is from debris from missile re-entries striking aircraft overflying the oceanic part of the ZKKP/Pyongyang FIR over the Sea of Japan. North Korea regularly conducts unannounced missile tests in this area. Consider rerouting to remain over the Japanese landmass or east of it.

There is also a risk of mistaken identity in or near the ZKKP/Pyongyang FIR boundary, as North Korea are threatening to actively shoot down reconnaissance aircraft in their airspace.

The US prohibits flights across all North Korean airspace, including the oceanic part of the ZKKP/Pyongyang FIR over the Sea of Japan. Several other countries have airspace warnings in place which advise caution due to the risk posed by unannounced rocket launches.

Major events:
July 2023: North Korea is threatening to actively shoot down reconnaissance aircraft in their airspace. This may put civil aviation at higher risk of mistaken identity in or near the ZKKP/Pyongyang FIR boundary.
Feb 2023: Ballistic missile fired over the UHHH/Khabarovsk FIR and then landed inside the RJJJ/Fukuoka FIR near several international airways.
Oct 2022: Ballistic missile fired directly over Japan - the first to incur on Japanese airspace since 2017.
2017: North Korea launched two intercontinental ballistic missiles. Both of these landed in the Sea of Japan, well inside the Fukuoka Flight Information Region (Japanese airspace), and significantly, at least one did not re-enter the atmosphere intact – meaning that a debris field of missile fragments passed through the airspace, not just one complete missile.
2015: North Korea gradually stopped notifying ICAO of missile launches, so that aircraft could avoid the launch and splashdown areas.

Read: North Korea Missile Threat, Oct 2022 (OPSGROUP article)

01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2218/26 Italian operators should avoid the ZKKP/Pyongyang FIR due to risks from missile launches.
27Feb23 USA Information Note North Korea Sheds some light on the risks posed from several recent missile launches, including one that transited the UHHH/Khabarovsk FIR and then landed inside the RJJJ/Fukuoka FIR near several international airways. The major risk to aircraft is from falling debris, especially if a launch fails.
19Oct22 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators should not enter the ZKKP/Pyongyang FIR due to risk posed by unannounced rocket launches.
07Sep20 USA SFAR 79 Flights are prohibited in all North Korean airspace, including the oceanic part of the ZKKP/Pyongyang FIR over the Sea of Japan, due to the threat posed by unannounced North Korean missile launches and air defense weapons systems.
09Apr20 France AIC 011/26 Caution advised to French operators for all North Korea overflights, especially in the maritime part over the Sea of Japan (due to unannounced rocket launches).
19Dec19 Germany AIC 03/26 Caution to German operators in North Korean airspace (ZKKP FIR) due to launching of test missiles without prior notice.
23Aug17 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) UK operators should avoid the ZKKP/Pyongyang FIR and should exercise caution over the Sea of Japan due potential risk from unannounced rocket launches.
09Aug17 OPSGROUP Note To Members: Japan Missile Risk Since 2015, North Korea has been test-launching missiles with increasing regularity. The absolute lack of warning, coupled with an emerging picture of a focus area for re-entry, creates a risk to flight operations in the western portion of Japan’s Fukuoka FIR over the Sea of Japan. Consider rerouting to remain over the Japanese landmass or east of it. Check routings carefully for arrivals/departures to Europe from Japan, especially if planning airways which connect with the UHHH/Khabarovsk FIR at waypoints IGROD and AVGOK.
South Sudan
Following a military coup in neighbouring Sudan in April 2023, Sudan remains closed to all civilian flights, and in South Sudan, air navigation services remain suspended above FL245.

In South Sudan itself, following five years of civil war, a ceasefire has largely held since Sept 2018. Significant reduction in violence, but the political and security situation remains volatile. In the event of a serious deterioration, similar to those of July 2016 and Dec 2013, HJJJ/Juba airport may be closed at short notice.

The UK and France still advise against overflying South Sudan below FL250/260 due to the risk posed by anti-aircraft weaponry. The US published a similar warning but rescinded it in Aug 2019. Germany withdrew their warning in March 2025.

The primary risk now comes from no ATC above FL245 due to the military coup in Sudan, and poor levels of ATC provision for overflights below FL245 or for aircraft operating to HSSJ/Juba airport. In Jan 2021, ICAO published a letter warning of service disruptions and lack of qualified ATC personnel, the lack of contingencies in place, communication issues, the number of withdrawn navigation aids and above all, the lack of information being supplied to operators regarding these issues.

Major events:
April 2023: Military coup in Sudan. Sudan’s airspace now closed, South Sudan’s airspace now closed above FL245.
April 2019: Military coup in Sudan led to the temporary closure of South Sudan’s airspace.
June 2016: The South Sudanese army declared intention to shoot down aircraft without permits and/or not following proper procedures.

Read: OPSGROUP article: Sudan Airspace Update, Apr 2023

01Nov22 South Africa Notam FACA A3715/22 Risk for overflights of South Sudan below FL245 or for aircraft operating to HSSJ/Juba airport due to poor levels of ATC provision.
02Feb21 South Sudan Notam HSSJ A0021/21 ATC radio is not good enough to cover all airspace in the country. All aircraft must use TCAS.
20Jan21 ICAO Letter AN 13/35-21/5 ICAO letter raising concerns about the risk to civil aircraft in the South Sudan region, below FL245, and into and out of HSSJ/Juba international airport. The letter raises concerns about ATC service disruptions and lack of qualified ATC personnel, the lack of contingencies in place, communication issues, the number of withdrawn navigation aids and above all, the lack of information being supplied to operators regarding these issues. They raise ‘grave concerns’ for the safety of international flights.
09Apr20 France AIC 011/26 French operators overflying the part of the HSSS/Sudan FIR above South Sudan should be at FL260 or above.
16Jun16 OSPGROUP Research Article Army of South Sudan will shoot down aircraft.
12Jun15 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) UK operators advised of potential risk below 25,000 ft AGL in the airspace over South Sudan due to the potential risk from anti-aviation weaponry.
Moldova
There is an ongoing active conflict in Ukraine between Russian and Ukrainian forces. Ukraine closed its entire airspace to all civil traffic in Feb 2022. Russia and Belarus have closed large sections of their own airspace near to their FIR boundaries with Ukraine. Moldova initially closed all their airspace too, but have since opened a section on their western border with the LRBB/Bucharesti FIR for flights to LUKK/Chisinau airport.

The primary risk is an unintended targeting of civil aircraft by military near the Moldova-Ukraine border, including misidentification (as with MAS17, UIA752), or confusion. The secondary risk is from spillover from the conflict such as Russian drones and missiles.

Major events:
Feb 2023: The LUUU/Chisinau FIR closed temporarily following reports of Russian drones infringing its airspace. Earlier in the month, at least two missiles also transited Moldova during a major military operation in Ukraine. Spill over risks from the conflict are being frequently reported.

Read: OPSGROUP article: Ukraine and Russia Update March 2022

22Nov24 Moldova AIP SUP 12/24 Moldovan airspace (the LUUU/Chisinau FIR) was closed in Feb 2022 due to the ongoing conflict in neighbouring Ukraine. But there is a section of airspace along the western border with the LRBB/Bucharesti FIR that is open for flights to LUKK/Chisinau airport.
27Jun24 France AIC 011/26 French operators should not enter the airspace of Moldova in close proximity to the country’s border with Ukraine. LUKK/Chisinau is not in this area, so flights here are permitted.
14Nov22 USA FAA Information Note Russia/Ukraine The Russia/Ukraine conflict spillover risk is increasing. Russia periodically launches missiles targeting Ukraine which transit Moldovan airspace. Reports of comms and GPS jamming outside the conflict zone, particularly over the Black Sea and Caspian Sea. Expanded drone activity, especially around Crimea and eastern Ukraine.
24Feb22 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators are prohibited from the LUUU/Chisinau FIR.
Belarus
There is an ongoing active conflict in Ukraine between Russian and Ukrainian forces. Ukraine closed its entire airspace to all civil traffic in Feb 2022. Russia and Belarus have closed large sections of their own airspace near to their FIR boundaries with Ukraine.

The US and Canada have issued an outright ban barring their operators from the entire airspace of Belarus, and several other countries have issued warnings.

The primary risk is an unintended targeting of civil aircraft by military near the Belarus-Ukraine border, including misidentification (as with MAS17, UIA752), or confusion.

Read: OPSGROUP article: Ukraine and Russia Update March 2022



Prior to Feb 2022, several countries and aviation organisations had urged airlines and operators to avoid the airspace of Belarus, following the country’s interception of an international flight bound for Lithuania and forced to land in Minsk on May 23, 2021. The forced landing of this flight was politically motivated, and the crew were misled into believing that there was a credible security threat against the aircraft.
01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2216/26 Italian operators should avoid the UMMV/Minsk FIR.
03Jan25 Germany AIC 03/26 German operators should not enter the airspace of Belarus west of 60E.
27Jun24 France AIC 011/26 French operators should not enter the airspace of Belarus due to the conflict in neighbouring Ukraine.
24Feb22 USA Notam KICZ A0003/22 US operators are prohibited from the airspace of Belarus (the UMMV/Minsk FIR) due to to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.
24Feb22 Canada AIC 17/26 Canadian operators are prohibited from the UMMV/Minsk FIR.
24Jan22 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) UK operators should not enter the UMMV/Minsk FIR due to potential safety and security risks.
02Jun21 EASA Safety Directive 2021-02 EASA is requesting member states to tell their operators to “not conduct operations” in the UMMV/Minsk FIR, unless it is to ensure safe operation in case of unforeseen circumstances.
25May21 EASA Safety Information Bullet 2021-10 EU and Third Country Operators should avoid the UMMV/Minsk FIR.
Eritrea
HHAS/Asmara airport was targeted on 14 Nov 2020 by missiles from the Tigray TPLF, bringing Eritrea into the conflict and meaning that operations here should be avoided. See Ethiopia summary for more detail.
17Nov20 OPSGROUP Airspace Risk Warning ARW11-2020 Airspace Risk Warning for Eritrea

LEVEL 3 : Caution

Caution applies to countries that do not have multiple current airspace warnings, but we consider worthy of a security review before operating into or over

Central America
Oct 2026: FAA caution notices remain in effect for US operators in specified Pacific overwater areas. They cover MHTG/Cenamer, MMFR/Mexico, MMFO/Mazatlan Oceanic, MPZL/Panama, SKED/Bogota, SEFG/Guayaquil and XX01/unassigned eastern Pacific. A separate FAA notice also covers MHCC/Central America FIR.

The primary risk is intermittent GNSS interference and military activity. The FAA advises US operators to use caution: military aircraft may operate near normal cruising levels with little warning, sometimes with transponders off, and GNSS problems may continue after leaving the affected area. The risk applies at all altitudes, including during arrivals and departures. There are no specific routing bans.



Major events:
Sep 2026: The FAA extended caution notices across Pacific overwater areas. They remain in effect through 13 March 2027.
Jan 2026: Reports of intermittent GNSS interference and US military counter-narcotics flights in the eastern Pacific prompted the FAA’s first caution notices.
10Sep26 USA Notam KICZ A0049/26 Caution for US operators in Pacific overwater areas in Central America due to potential risks of GPS interference and military activity.
10Sep26 USA Notam KICZ A0048/26 Caution for US operators in Pacific overwater areas in Central America due to potential risks of GPS interference and military activity.
10Sep26 USA Notam KICZ A0050/26 Caution for US operators in Pacific overwater areas in Central America due to potential risks of GPS interference and military activity.
10Sep26 USA Notam KICZ A0051/26 Caution for US operators in Pacific overwater areas in Central America due to potential risks of GPS interference and military activity.
10Sep26 USA Notam KICZ A0047/26 Caution for US operators in Pacific overwater areas in Central America due to potential risks of GPS interference and military activity.
10Sep26 USA Notam KICZ A0052/26 Caution for US operators in Pacific overwater areas in Central America due to potential risks of GPS interference and military activity.
10Sep26 USA Notam KICZ A0053/26 Caution for US operators in Pacific overwater areas in Central America due to potential risks of GPS interference and military activity.
16Jan26 USA FAA Background Notice Caution for US operators across multiple eastern Pacific and Central America FIRs due to ongoing military activity and intermittent GPS interference.
Qatar
Oct 2026: OTDF/Doha FIR remains open, but the risk picture is still elevated following the US-Iran conflict and continuing military activity in the Persian Gulf. Some restrictions remain in place over the FIR’s waters, while short-notice disruption remains possible.

See OPSGROUP Briefing: Middle East airspace situation - 2026

The primary risk is missile and drone activity linked to the wider regional conflict. Qatar hosts major US military facilities and could be directly exposed to Iranian attacks. Air-defence activity also creates a risk of misidentification, falling debris and sudden airspace restrictions. EASA advises avoiding the Persian Gulf waters within OTDF/Doha FIR except for necessary arrivals and departures, while France advises great caution throughout the FIR.



Major events:
Sep 2026: France renewed its warning for French operators to exercise great caution in OTDF/Doha FIR.
Jul-Sep 2026: A Persian Gulf airspace advisory was issued and later revised following renewed military activity. It now advises avoiding the waters within OTDF/Doha FIR except for necessary arrivals and departures.
Feb-Jul 2026: OTDF/Doha FIR closed and reopened several times during the Iran conflict before returning to normal overflight operations.
Mar 2026: An Iranian missile strike was reported near Al Udeid Air Base, close to Doha.
30Sep26 France Notam LFFF F1999/26 French operators should exercise great caution in the airspace of Qatar.
14Jul26 EASA CZIB 2026-07R3 Operators should avoid airspace over the waters of the Persian Gulf within Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and UAE FIRs, plus the Gulf of Oman within the Muscat FIR west of 58 degrees east, except as necessary for arrivals/departures from aerodromes within the affected FIRs.
Bahrain
Oct 2026: OBBB/Bahrain FIR remains open, but the risk picture is still elevated following the US-Iran conflict and military activity around the Strait of Hormuz. Some restrictions remain in place over the FIR’s waters, while short-notice disruption remains possible.

See OPSGROUP Briefing: Middle East airspace situation - 2026

The primary risk is missile and drone activity linked to the wider regional conflict. Bahrain hosts major US military facilities and could be directly exposed to Iranian attacks. Air-defence activity also creates a risk of misidentification, falling debris and sudden airspace restrictions. Ops over the Persian Gulf waters within OBBB/Bahrain FIR should be avoided except for necessary arrivals and departures, while France advises to exercise great caution throughout the FIR.



Major events:
Sep 2026: France renewed its warning for French operators to exercise great caution in OBBB/Bahrain FIR.
Jul-Sep 2026: A Persian Gulf airspace advisory was issued and later revised following renewed military activity. It now advises avoiding the waters within OBBB/Bahrain FIR except for necessary arrivals and departures.
Feb-Jul 2026: OBBB/Bahrain FIR closed and reopened several times during the Iran conflict before returning to normal overflight operations.
Mar 2026: Iranian missile and drone attacks affected several Gulf states, including airspace around Bahrain.
30Sep26 France Notam LFFF F2001/26 French operators should exercise great caution in the airspace of Bahrain.
14Jul26 EASA CZIB 2026-07R3 Operators should avoid airspace over the waters of the Persian Gulf within Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and UAE FIRs, plus the Gulf of Oman within the Muscat FIR west of 58 degrees east, except as necessary for arrivals/departures from aerodromes within the affected FIRs.
Jordan
Oct 2026: OJAC/Amman FIR remains open and Jordan has not published conflict-related airspace restrictions. However, the security situation deteriorated after renewed attacks in early September, and current international guidance is to avoid the FIR at all altitudes.

See OPSGROUP Briefing: Middle East airspace situation - 2026

The primary risk is missile and drone activity linked to regional conflicts. Jordan has previously been affected by missiles and drones crossing its airspace during escalations involving Israel and Iran. Air-defence activity adds a risk of interception, misidentification and falling debris. France and Germany advise not to enter the FIR, while European guidance also recommends avoiding it at all altitudes.




Major events:
Sep 2026: Renewed attacks in early September increased the risk to civil aviation in Jordanian airspace. France subsequently renewed its warning for French operators not to enter OJAC/Amman FIR.
Aug 2026: Germany advised its operators not to enter OJAC/Amman FIR.
Feb-Jul 2026: Jordan remained open throughout the Iran conflict, although missile and drone activity affected several neighbouring countries.
Apr 2024: Jordan temporarily closed its airspace during Iran’s drone and missile attack on Israel.
30Sep26 France Notam LFFF F2002/26 French operators should not enter the airspace of Jordan.
17Aug26 Germany Notam EDWW B0678/26 German operators should not enter the airspace of Jordan.
22Jul26 EASA CZIB 2026-08-R2 Operators should avoid the airspace of Jordan.
United Arab Emirates
Oct 2026: OMAE/Emirates FIR remains open, but the risk picture is still elevated following the US-Iran conflict and military activity around the Strait of Hormuz. Ops over the Persian Gulf waters within the FIR should be avoided except for necessary arrivals/departures.

See OPSGROUP Briefing: Middle East airspace situation - 2026

The primary risk is missile and drone activity linked to the wider regional conflict. The UAE could be directly exposed to Iranian attacks, while air-defence activity raises the risk of misidentification, interception activity and falling debris. Debris from intercepted drones has previously fallen in Abu Dhabi, and GPS spoofing has been reported across the FIR. France advises to exercise great caution throughout OMAE/Emirates FIR.



Major events:
Sep 2026: France renewed its warning for French operators to exercise great caution in OMAE/Emirates FIR.
Jul-Sep 2026: A Persian Gulf airspace advisory was issued and later revised following renewed military activity. It now advises avoiding the waters within OMAE/Emirates FIR except for necessary arrivals and departures.
Feb-Jul 2026: UAE airspace closed and reopened several times during the Iran conflict.
Mar 2026: Debris from intercepted drones fell in Abu Dhabi, causing injuries and damage.
Feb 2022: Multiple Houthi drone and missile attacks targeted Abu Dhabi.
30Sep26 France Notam LFFF F1998/26 French operators are advised to exercise caution in the OMAE/Emirates FIR.
14Jul26 EASA CZIB 2026-07R3 Operators should avoid airspace over the waters of the Persian Gulf within Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and UAE FIRs, plus the Gulf of Oman within the Muscat FIR west of 58 degrees east, except as necessary for arrivals/departures from aerodromes within the affected FIRs.
Oman
Oct 2026: OOMM/Muscat FIR remains open and is a key part of the main southern bypass route around the Middle East conflict zone. The risk remains elevated due to military activity around the Strait of Hormuz. Ops over the Gulf of Oman within the FIR west of 58°E should be avoided.

See OPSGROUP Briefing: Middle East airspace situation - 2026

The primary risk is military activity around the Strait of Hormuz. Oman sits close to the strait and remains an important link in the Egypt-Saudi-Oman routing used by many operators. Ops over the Gulf of Oman within OOMM/Muscat FIR west of 58°E should be avoided. France advises to exercise great caution throughout the FIR.



Major events:
Sep 2026: France renewed its warning for French operators to exercise great caution in OOMM/Muscat FIR.
Jul-Sep 2026: A Persian Gulf airspace advisory was issued and later revised following renewed military activity. It continues to advise avoiding the Gulf of Oman within OOMM west of 58°E.
Feb-Jul 2026: Oman remained open throughout the Iran conflict and became a key part of the southern bypass route.
Jun 2025: Israel and Iran exchanged missile strikes, prompting renewed airspace warnings.
Oct 2024: Israel and Iran exchanged missile attacks, leading to widespread airspace avoidance.
30Sep26 France Notam LFFF F1997/26 French operators are advised to exercise caution in the OOMM/Muscat FIR.
14Jul26 EASA CZIB 2026-07R3 Operators should avoid airspace over the waters of the Persian Gulf within Bahrain, Kuwait, Qatar and UAE FIRs, plus the Gulf of Oman within the Muscat FIR west of 58 degrees east, except as necessary for arrivals/departures from aerodromes within the affected FIRs.
Puerto Rico
On 3 Jan 2026, the FAA briefly restricted US civil operations in the TJZS/San Juan FIR following US military action in Venezuela, citing safety of flight concerns. That restriction was lifted within 24 hours, and subsequent FAA Notams advising caution were also short lived and have now been fully rescinded. There are currently no FAA flight bans or cautionary advisories in effect for the San Juan or Curacao FIRs. Earlier airspace warnings for the region had highlighted increased state and military aircraft activity, including operations not fully coordinated with civilian ATC, in a busy civil corridor.

Major Events:
3 Jan 2026: US airstrikes in Venezuela. FAA issues prohibition Notams affecting the San Juan FIR.
Late 2025: Increased US naval and air activity across the southern Caribbean raises regional risk levels.
Nov 2025: FAA issues airspace warning for the TJZS/San Juan FIR, citing increased state aircraft operations.

Curacao
On 3 Jan 2026, the FAA briefly restricted US civil operations in the TNCF/Curacao FIR following US military action in Venezuela, citing safety of flight concerns linked to elevated military activity in the region. That restriction was lifted within 24 hours, and subsequent FAA Notams advising caution were also short lived and have now been fully rescinded. There are currently no FAA flight bans or cautionary advisories in effect for the Curacao FIR. Earlier airspace warnings and late 2025 events had highlighted increased state and military aircraft activity, including reported losses of separation near TNCC/Curacao requiring ATC intervention.

Major Events:
3 Jan 2026: US airstrikes in Venezuela. FAA issues prohibition Notams affecting the TNCF/Curacao FIR.
Dec 2025: Two losses of separation were reported in the TNCF/Curacao FIR involving civilian aircraft and military tankers, including a JetBlue A320 and a civilian bizjet.
Nov 2025: TNCF FIR issues a Notam advising extreme caution when operating to or from TNCA, TNCC and TNCB due to unidentified aircraft activity.

Rwanda
There is ongoing conflict in eastern DRC, centred on North Kivu province around Goma along the border with Rwanda. Fighting between AFC/M23 rebels and Congolese forces continues to shift and remains unpredictable. The area should be considered an active conflict zone, with a credible risk from anti-aircraft weaponry, particularly at low level and on the ground near affected airports such as FZNA/Goma. The UK and Canada currently have airspace warnings in place covering the eastern portion of the Kinshasa FIR.

Major events:
Jan 2026: Fighting remains active in eastern DRC despite diplomatic efforts, with rebel forces operating around key towns near the Rwanda and Burundi borders. The security situation continues to shift quickly.
Jan 2025: Rebel forces entered Goma. Heavy fighting was reported in the city and FZNA/Goma was declared closed during the clashes.
Feb 2024: A parked civilian aircraft at FZNA/Goma was damaged by at least one bomb dropped from a drone. Looks like military aircraft were being targeted.
Jan 2023: The Rwandan military shot at a fighter jet from the Congo DRC which they claimed had busted Rwandan airspace near FZNA/Goma. Reports suggest the aircraft was hit by a MANPAD at low level - the jet landed safely but sustained heavy damage.



Read: Africa Airspace Risk, Jet Shot in Rwanda, Jan 2023 (OPSGROUP article)
Cambodia
Fighting between Thailand and Cambodia resumed in Dec 2025 after a recent ceasefire collapsed, with artillery and air operations reported in several parts of the border region.

Thailand has issued Notams for the entire land border advising that ATC may apply radar vectors or level changes around military activity. Cambodia has also issued a Notam telling eastbound flights to avoid airway G474 and refile further south via B204, which routes overhead VDSA/Siem Reap. Airspace remains open, but expect tactical ATC handling near the border.

No other airspace warnings are active for this region at this time, but keep checking the latest VTBB/Bangkok FIR and VDPF/Phnom Penh FIR Notams for any updates before filing.

Egypt
July 2025: The ceasefire between Israel and Iran has held so far. All airspace in the region has largely reopened, but the corridor between Israel and Iran remains high risk if the conflict resumes.

See OPSGROUP Briefing: Middle East airspace situation – June 2025



Prior to the June 2025 conflict between Israel and Iran, the only airspace warnings for Egypt were those published by the UK in Nov 2023, advising caution over the Gulf of Aqaba and the Red Sea due to the potential risk from heightened military activity related to the conflict in Israel/Gaza.

Major events:
June 2025: EASA issues CZIB warning of spillover risk in the airspace of Egypt and Saudi Arabia from the conflict between Israel and Iran.
Nov 2023: UK published Notams warning of increased risk over the Gulf of Aqaba and the Red Sea due to the conflict in Israel/Gaza. Cruise missiles and drones launched from Yemen targeted Israel. Some shot down over the Red Sea, others landed on Egypt/Israel border. New Airspace Warning: The Red Sea, Nov 2023 (OPSGROUP article)
July 2019: British Airways suspends Cairo operations for one week due to security concerns.
Feb 2017: An SA-7 anti-aircraft missile tube was found less than a mile from HECA/Cairo airport.
Oct 2015: A Russian A321 was brought down over the Sinai peninsula by a bomb loaded at HESH/Sharm El Sheikh. The group claimed the IED was placed aboard the aircraft prior to departing HESH, raising concerns of potential insider threats at the airport.
26Dec24 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) Caution to UK operators over the Red Sea due to the potential risk from military activity.
26Dec24 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) Caution to UK operators over the Gulf of Aqaba due to the potential risk from military activity.
India
The primary risk in India’s airspace in in the VIDF/Delhi FIR. The risk is from military activity by Pakistan and India in the disputed Kashmir region, which poses a potential inadvertent risk to aviation at all altitudes.

There was a period of intense shelling and aerial incursions from both sides from 7-10 May 2025. A ceasefire announced on May 10 appears to be holding. We continue to advise caution in the Kashmir region where air defense activity could resume with little warning if hostilities were to restart.

Flight tracking indicates that some operators have resumed overflights of this region, although most are still avoiding the area, opting instead to reroute south via the Gulf of Oman and the UAE.

Since the events of May 2025, the only country to have issued a new airspace warning to avoid the Kashmir area is France.



Major events:
May 2025: Ceasefire on May 10 following four days of conflict in Kashmir region. Most operators still avoiding the region and routing via Gulf of Oman and UAE.
Western Sahara
In Sep 2021, there were concerns of a new conflict zone emerging in Western Sahara. The country is split down the middle - Morocco controls the west, and the region’s independence movement, the Polisario, controls the east. The Polisario declared war on Morocco.

The FAA warned that the Polisario likely had access to anti-aircraft weaponry which may pose an inadvertent risk to civil aircraft up to FL120. The GCCC/Canarias FIR issued a Notam warning operators to avoid using the airways over Western Sahara below FL200.

But since then, the intensity of the hostilities has remained fairly limited. No new warnings were issued, and the Canarias Notam was withdrawn in Nov 2021.

For ops over Western Sahara, note that there is a lack of continuous ATC coverage. Western Sahara does not control its own airspace - it falls within both the GCCC/Canarias and the GOOO/Dakar FIRs, which may complicate airspace management should the conflict escalate again. The FAA advise aircraft operating in the region to stay in touch with ATC and be prepared for possible airspace restrictions and reroutes.

Read: Opsgroup article - Western Sahara Airspace Update, May 2021.
19Nov20 USA FAA Information Note Morocco/Western Sahara Potential new conflict zone in Western Sahara, including anti-aircraft weaponry which may pose an inadvertent risk to civil aircraft up to FL120.
South Korea
In 2024, South Korea started warning of GPS interference in the north of the country, likely originating from North Korea, advising pilots to watch out for ops to the Seoul airports of RKSS and RKSI. It’s especially important to watch out for GPS spoofing here - it’s right next to the border with North Korea and a bunch of prohibited areas which carry chart warnings that say in very clear language that you might get shot at if you inadvertently enter.

South Korea previously had warnings in place due to the risk posed by unannounced North Korea missile launches and regional volatility. A US Notam on GPS interference expired on May 27, 2019.

Major events:
May 2024: Member report of GPS spoofing into RKSS/Seoul on approach to RWY 32R. They disabled hybrid and deselected GPS after seeing the risk reported on ATIS.
29Sep26 South Korea Notam RKRR Z0718/26 Watch out for GPS interference in the RKRR/Incheon FIR. It has been reported in the vicinity of Seoul, including RSKI/Incheon. The interference likely originates from North Korea in response to ongoing military drills in the area.
27May18 USA Notam KICZ A0011/18 Exercise caution in the Incheon FIR due to interference with or disruption of GPS signals. (Notam expired in May 2019, listing here for reference only).
Myanmar
The security situation in Myanmar has deteriorated since the military coup in Feb 2021. There is conflict and violence across many parts of the country, involving air strikes and armed clashes.

Several countries have issued airspace warnings at the lower flight levels due to the potential risk from military ops, surface-to-air fire and anti-aviation weaponry. We have also had reports of GPS jamming (and maybe spoofing) in the north of the FIR for overflights between China and Bangladesh airspace.

Major events:
Feb 2026: Armed groups targeted an ATR with passengers on board preparing to depart VYMK/Myitkyina with a first-person view suicide drone. Damage was caused to the nose, midesection and tail and was later declared a war crime under the Geneva Convention. The airport was temporarily closed.
Jan 2024: Armed group shot down a military helicopter in the northern state of Kachin, which borders China. They likely used a man portable air defence system (MANPAD).
Sep 2023: Several attacks by rebel groups against military targets across the country, including a makeshift drone which dropped bombs on aircraft hangars at an airbase next to VYNT/Naypyitaw airport.
Sep 2023: Reports of intermittent GPS jamming on airway N895 over the mainland in the VYYF/Yangon FIR.
Apr 2023: Myanmar’s main airport VYYY/Yangon temporarily closed following attack by resistance groups with improvised artillery rounds.
Sep 2022: A Myanmar National Airlines passenger was reportedly shot as bullets passed through the fuselage of the ATR 72 aircraft on approach to VYLK/Loikaw.
Feb 2021: Military coup ousted the government. ATC strike at the end of Feb resulted in no ATC service provided to overflights (read more on that here). Since then, there have been increasing strikes and mass protests by opposition activists, as well as clashes with militia and airstrikes on areas where militia are known to be active.

Read: OPSGROUP Article - Myanmar, Nov 2022
01Sep26 Italy Notam LIRR E2222/26 Italian operators should avoid the VYYF/Yangon FIR below 25000 ft AGL.
07Aug26 Canada Notam CZUL H5013/26 It's recommended that Candian operators remain at or above FL260 in the VYYF/Yangon FIR due to risk of anti-aircraft weaponry.
30Jul26 EASA Information Note Operators should take potential risk into account below FL260 in the airspace of Myanmar.
29Jan26 France AIC 011/26 French operators should remain at or above FL260 in the Yangon FIR. VYYY/Yangon airport is the only alternate available to be filed.
15May25 UK UK AIP ENR 1.1 (1.4.5) Caution to UK operators for flights below 25,000 ft AGL in the VYYF/Yangon FIR due to potential risks from anti-aircraft weaponry.
23Nov22 Germany AIC 03/26 Caution to German operators for flights below FL160 due to a potential risk from military ops, surface-to-air fire and anti-aviation weaponry.
Niger
Risk elevated for Niger, due to risk of target misidentification for civil traffic. Security on the ground is still a problem. The US continues to advise against all travel there.

Niger’s airspace and airports were temporarily closed to all flights in Aug 2023, following a military coup. The coup leaders are now operating defensively, and actively looking for signs of military intervention from neighbouring states. If this were to happen, it would likely be from ECOWAS states led by Nigeria, and also potentially with troops from Benin, Guinea Bissau, Ivory Coast, and Senegal. In this scenario, such regional escalation would highly likely trigger further airspace closures with increased shootdown risks in the wider area.

Read: OSGROUP article, Aug 2023

Major events:
Jan 2024: Report of intermittent GPS spoofing in Niger, which began during climb out of DRRN/Niamey and remained until descent to DXXX/Lome in Togo to the south.
Dec 2023: Several reports of overflights being denied entry into Niger airspace at short notice. In all cases, a valid permit was in hand but was not accepted by Niger ATC while the flight was airborne. Likely due to CAA computer system errors. Overflights should carry extra fuel for potential holding.
Sep 2023: Niger’s airspace reopened for the first time since a military coup in July. But it now excludes French-registered aircraft, or those chartered by French interests due to a political dispute.

Turkey
The primary risk is misidentification by local militia who infrequently target Turkish military aircraft with MANPADS and weaponsied drones. Operations to LTAJ/Gaziantep should be carefully reviewed given its proximity to the Syrian border. Along the border with Syria and Iraq in proximity to conflict zones, there is a higher level of airborne military traffic, UAS and the risk of proximity to airstrikes.

The secondary risk is from GPS jamming and spoofing. There are frequent reports from crews of GPS signal interference in Turkish airspace - with some as far away as abeam Baghdad. GPS jamming is common through the LTAA/Ankara FIR, and especially on the border between the ORBB/Baghdad and OIIX/Tehran FIRs. As of Nov 2023, GPS Spoofing is also being encountered over the Black Sea in Turkish airspace. All reports share very similar symptoms: uncommanded turns, position errors, and multiple GPWS warnings. The spoofed locations received all centre on Sevastopol, Crimean peninsula, a difference of between 120-250nm from the actual aircraft position. More info: Special Briefing, OPSGROUP Members Dashboard

Major events:
Nov 2023: GPS Spoofing being encountered over the Black Sea in Turkish airspace.
Nov 2022: Shelling and a rocket strike near a town in southern Turkey, near the border with Syria. Turkey has been carrying out airstrikes on Syria and Kurdish regions of Iraq.
May 2021: Attempted drone attack by local militia on LTCC/Diyabakir airport in South Eastern Turkey.
Jan 2019: Turkish security forces intercepted three weaponised drones during attempted attacks against sites in southern Turkey.
02Oct26 Turkey Notam LTAA A4412/26 Expect GPS interference in Turkish Airspace.
19May21 USA FAA Information Note Turkey Drone attack in May 2021 on LTCC/Diyabakir airport in South Eastern Turkey. Local militia targeting military interests are thought to be responsible. While no threats have been made against civil aviation, the militia are known to have access to portable anti-aircraft weaponry which may pose a low-level risk through misidentification.
Cyprus
Two issues the LCCC/Nicosia FIR over Cyprus: proximity to active conflict zone in Syria, and GPS Interference.

The primary risk is from the proximity to Syria: civil aircraft may be targeted in error, or caught in crossfire during ongoing air attacks involving Israel, Russia, Iran. Missiles may erroneously lock on to civil aircraft. There is a risk to civil aircraft operating on overwater airways east of Cyprus.

The secondary risk is from GPS Interference. This has been ongoing since 2018. In April 2018, the Nicosia FIR began being used as a military staging for possible strikes in Syria, prompting EASA to issue a warning, and lead to avoidance of the FIR by many airlines. In Nov 2023, OPSGROUP received several reports of enroute aircraft being targeted with fake GPS signals, leading to complete nav failures. This type of GPS spoofing has not been seen before – IRS is quickly “infected” by false position. Suggested Guidance and Procedures, and original crew reports, in Briefing PDF here: GPS Spoofing, Nov 2023 (OPSGROUP article)

Major events:
Nov 2023 - ongoing: GPS spoofing reported across the Mediterranean region.
Sep 2018: Russian IL-20 shot down in error on FIR boundary with Cyprus (Nicosia FIR) - airline flights on UL620 within 50nm of this position.
04Aug26 Cyprus Notam LCCC A0818/26 Caution in Cyprus airspace due to military aircraft flying with no transponders.
28Jul26 Cyprus Notam LCCC A0799/26 Expect GPS interference in Cyprus airspace.
14Apr18 USA Notam KICZ A0009/18 Exercise caution within 200 NM of the Damascus FIR due to military activity. Possibility of GPS interference, communication jamming, and long-range surface to air missiles in the area.
Indonesia
The security situation in Papua remains poor. While there are no active airspace warnings for Indonesian Papua or neighbouring Papua New Guinea, the region has a recent history of armed groups targeting either low flying aircraft or airports themselves. Operators should take extra security precautions, including limiting time spent on the ground.

Major events:
Mar 2023: An armed group opened fired at WAYB/Bilorai airport. One plane on the ground was hit and another diverted.
Feb 2023: An aircraft was set on fire and the pilot taken hostage at Paro airfield.
Jan 2023: An armed group fired at an aircraft landing at WAJO/Oksibil airport. It went around and diverted.
June 2022: An armed group fired at an aircraft landing at Kenyam airfield.
Apr 2021: An armed group attacked WABL/Ilaga airport and torched a private helicopter.
Central African Republic
The security situation on the ground in the Central African Republic is dire. There have been numerous attacks on civilians and peacekeeping troops in recent years. FEFF/Bangui airport is operating under UN control, and is subject to regular power outages. The US and UK advise against all travel to the entire country due to violent crime, civil unrest, and the presence of armed groups who control large areas of the country. There are no official airspace warnings in place for the CAR, but the general advice is to avoid landings here completely.

Major events:
Nov 2022: An unidentified aircraft dropped bombs targeting a militant group 150nm north of the capital Bangui. The group responded with small arms fire. Low flying aircraft in the area may be at increased risk.
Feb 2021: Deteriorating security situation. A state of emergency was declared due to post election violence. The government suspended use of all airspace by foreign governments and NGOs. For the second time, armed rebels attempted to enter the capital Bangui to overthrow the newly elected president. They got within six miles of the city before being pushed back by local and UN forces.
Japan
The primary risk is from debris from missile re-entries striking aircraft overflying the oceanic part of the ZKKP/Pyongyang FIR over the Sea of Japan. North Korea regularly conducts unannounced missile tests in this area. Consider rerouting to remain over the Japanese landmass or east of it.

The US prohibits flights across all North Korean airspace, including the oceanic part of the ZKKP/Pyongyang FIR over the Sea of Japan. Several other countries have airspace warnings in place which advise caution due to the risk posed by unannounced rocket launches.

Major events:
Oct 2022: North Korea fired a ballistic missile directly over Japan - the first to incur on Japanese airspace since 2017.
2017: North Korea launched two intercontinental ballistic missiles. Both of these landed in the Sea of Japan, well inside the Fukuoka Flight Information Region (Japanese airspace), and significantly, at least one did not re-enter the atmosphere intact – meaning that a debris field of missile fragments passed through the airspace, not just one complete missile.
2015: North Korea gradually stopped notifying ICAO of missile launches, so that aircraft could avoid the launch and splashdown areas.

Read: North Korea Missile Threat, Oct 2022 (OPSGROUP article)

07Sep20 USA SFAR 79 Flights are prohibited in all North Korean airspace, including the oceanic part of the ZKKP/Pyongyang FIR over the Sea of Japan, due to the threat posed by unannounced North Korean missile launches and air defense weapons systems.
09Aug17 OPSGROUP Note To Members: Japan Missile Risk Since 2015, North Korea has been test-launching missiles with increasing regularity. The absolute lack of warning, coupled with an emerging picture of a focus area for re-entry, creates a risk to flight operations in the western portion of Japan’s Fukuoka FIR over the Sea of Japan. Consider rerouting to remain over the Japanese landmass or east of it. Check routings carefully for arrivals/departures to Europe from Japan, especially if planning airways which connect with the UHHH/Khabarovsk FIR at waypoints IGROD and AVGOK.
Albania
Pilots should exercise extreme caution while operating in Albanian airspace (the LAAA/Tirana FIR) due to a heightened risk of degraded ATC services.

In April 2021, Albanian airspace (the LAAA/Tirana FIR) along with LATI/Tirana Airport was forced to close, after a number of local air traffic controllers declared themselves temporarily unfit to work.

Local air traffic controllers are working under significant duress and high stress, having been threatened with dismissal (or worse - being arrested and jailed) if they do not declare themselves fit for duty. A number of foreign controllers were temporarily brought in despite not being trained or rated on any of the local positions.

Several international associations have published warnings, including IFALPA and IFATCA.
10Apr21 IFATCA Press Release Pilots should exercise extreme caution while operating in Albanian airspace (the LAAA/Tirana FIR) due to a heightened risk of degraded ATC services.
Chad
Chad in the past was a popular fuel stop in central Africa, but multiple travel warnings now advise against travel here (see the UK advice here, and the US advice here). No official airspace warnings have been issued for Chad, but danger remains high. FTTJ/Ndjamena airport was closed for 2 days in April 2021 due to security concerns following the death of Chad’s long term President - more info here. High threat for terrorism. Avoid landings.

Philippines
There has been a high volume of crew reports of GPS Interference in the Philippines, leading to GPS/ADS-B dropouts, especially in the vicinity of RPLL/Manila.
08May17 Philippines Notam RPLL B1584/17 Reports of GPS interference affecting RPLL/Manila Airport.