Risk Level: Three - Caution

[ about risk levels ]
Risk elevated for Niger, due to risk of target misidentification for civil traffic.

Niger’s airspace and airports were closed to all flights in Aug 2023, following a military coup.

The coup leaders are now operating defensively, and actively looking for signs of military intervention from neighbouring states. If this were to happen, it would likely be from ECOWAS states led by Nigeria, and also potentially with troops from Benin, Guinea Bissau, Ivory Coast, and Senegal.

In this scenario, such regional escalation would highly likely trigger further airspace closures with increased shootdown risks in the wider area.

Read: OSGROUP article, Aug 2023