June 2026: Armenian airspace (UDDD/Yerevan FIR) is seeing increased traffic as operators route around the Middle East conflict zone. The Armenia-Azerbaijan corridor has become one of the main Europe-Asia bypass routes and remains busy with overflight traffic.

See OPSGROUP Briefing: Middle East airspace situation - 2026

The primary risk is potential spillover from the Iran conflict into the southern Caucasus region, including missile or drone activity crossing into neighbouring airspace.



There also remains a background risk from military tensions between Armenia and Azerbaijan. Although cross-border waypoints reopened following the Sep 2023 ceasefire, previous conflicts between the two countries have resulted in airspace restrictions and the closure of border routes.

Major events:
March 2026: Iranian drones crossed into Azerbaijan and struck the terminal building at UBBN/Nakhchivan airport, highlighting the risk of spillover from the Iran conflict into the Caucasus region.
Sep 2023: Ceasefire agreed between Armenia and Azerbaijan following fighting in the border region, cross-border waypoints reopened.
Sep 2022: Clashes between Armenia and Azerbaijan temporarily closed border waypoints.
Sep-Oct 2020: War between Armenia and Azerbaijan led to large areas of closed airspace and warnings of missile threats.